Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 15.184934 17.151888 19.292464 21.797466 24.651759 27.806461 31.562595
2025-02-16 11.477049 13.983880 16.938384 20.687569 25.333150 30.919270 38.174049
2025-02-23 9.226921 11.960560 15.400339 20.068577 26.273279 34.284517 45.489469
2025-03-02 7.724772 10.548327 14.302944 19.698011 27.312989 37.768266 53.367458
2025-03-09 6.705025 9.577807 13.585552 19.639409 28.648603 41.710523 62.356777
2025-03-16 5.903732 8.774191 12.951777 19.548440 29.840433 45.510413 71.606979
2025-03-23 5.453959 8.407558 12.877695 20.233642 32.228623 51.351018 84.810567
2025-03-30 4.944138 7.874491 12.467518 20.311485 33.623334 55.750529 96.256873
2025-04-06 4.409655 7.232039 11.797451 19.860278 34.048699 58.548998 105.296967
2025-04-13 3.979711 6.707187 11.250555 19.530389 34.605558 61.590160 115.142351
2025-04-20 3.755504 6.501681 11.210885 20.064506 36.740692 67.684203 131.568040
2025-04-27 3.578329 6.355937 11.253132 20.739887 39.202890 74.675842 150.781544
2025-05-04 3.334379 6.073233 11.035385 20.935409 40.835809 80.414341 168.646894
2025-05-11 3.031305 5.650755 10.517664 20.497043 41.170637 83.637574 181.783604
2025-05-18 2.774497 5.288784 10.075188 20.152846 41.649904 87.221403 196.325028
2025-05-25 2.556290 4.978618 9.699205 19.896083 42.273757 91.189449 212.411533
2025-06-01 2.387450 4.748624 9.456966 19.887002 43.427084 96.471519 232.519337
2025-06-08 2.229342 4.524055 9.201467 19.816500 44.428982 101.541047 252.981850
2025-06-15 2.157127 4.470017 9.293771 20.521493 47.302448 111.397631 287.453300
2025-06-22 2.036270 4.300316 9.121471 20.604772 48.713266 117.919293 314.283489
2025-06-29 1.882779 4.044933 8.736735 20.148431 48.748030 121.010950 332.246848
2025-07-06 1.753128 3.829785 8.419634 19.814214 49.038386 124.783452 352.800404
2025-07-13 1.697248 3.775471 8.461423 20.356951 51.645918 135.037257 394.320283